Across 71 NFL matches played from 1 September 2026 to 1 November 2026, the closing favourite won 63.4% of its games. On average, the market gave it 64.4%.
NFL at a glance
This page tracks NFL: the upcoming fixtures, then what the average odds from every bookmaker say about the matches already played, once the sample is large enough for the figures to hold.
Upcoming matches
The fixtures, without odds. The analysis for each match is in the app.
- Baltimore Ravens - Jacksonville Jaguars
- Atlanta Falcons - Cincinnati Bengals
- Minnesota Vikings - Buffalo Bills
- New York Giants - Washington Commanders
- Detroit Lions - New England Patriots
- New York Jets - Buffalo Bills
- Cleveland Browns - Houston Texans
- New Orleans Saints - Carolina Panthers
The market on NFL
The market's favourites
Across 71 NFL matches played from 1 September 2026 to 1 November 2026, the closing favourite (the lowest average odds) won 63.4% of its games. On average, the market gave it 64.4%.
| Favourite's odds | Matches | Wins | Actual rate | What the market said |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.50 | 30 | 22 | 73.3% | 73.5% |
| From 1.50 to 2.00 | 41 | 23 | 56.1% | 57.7% |
Home advantage
Home teams won 46.5% of the 71 matches analysed. Their implied probability without margin averaged 55.3%.
Odds movements
Between the opening and the close, the implied probability of an outcome moves by 3.2 percentage points on average. The favourite changes in 4.2% of the 71 matches analysed.
When the market moves
30% of the odds movement happens in the last 24 hours before kick-off, and 12% in the last 2 hours. Sample: 71 matches.
Movement is the sum of the changes in implied probability between the opening, 24 hours before, 2 hours before and the close.
Frequently asked questions
Where do the figures on NFL come from?
The average odds from every bookmaker we track, with their margin removed, for each finished match in the competition. The Method section gives the sample thresholds.
Does OddScore tell you which team to back in NFL?
No. OddScore gives no stake advice. The AI reading sums up what the market says about a match. It is not a bet to follow.
Method
These figures describe the market, not OddScore. They don't measure any reading or score from the product.
- A price is the average of the odds from every bookmaker we track, with one price per bookmaker.
- The opening is the first price we kept. The close is the last price before kick-off.
- Implied probability is calculated without the bookmakers' margin.
- Results are settled at the end of the match, overtime included.
- An overall statistic appears from 100 matches, a band or a competition from 30.
More detail on the methodology page and the corrections log.
Descriptive figures on matches already played. No tip, no stake advice, no promise of winnings. Adults only (18+). Gambling carries risks: debt, isolation, addiction. Need to talk to someone? The National Gambling Helpline is on 0808 8020 133 across Great Britain, 24 hours a day. More help at BeGambleAware (begambleaware.org).
Responsible gambling: figures on past matches say nothing about the next one. Sports betting carries a risk of financial loss. Set yourself a budget, don't chase your losses, and use the deposit limits and self-exclusion tools available. Learn more about responsible gambling
Dig into the market
Odds movements are only part of the story. Here are the next topics to read.
Implied probability: how to read odds
How to turn odds into a probability, margin included.
Read the guideClosing Line Value: the closing odds
Why the last price before the match is the benchmark.
Read the guideOdds movements: understanding the market
What happens between the first price and the last.
Read the guideSources
The figures come from our own odds records. Here are the official references on gambling and, where one exists, the competition's page.